主题: II.1

The main point was that my team would be much improved and generally competitive. I probably won't compete for the title in I.1 or be guaranteed to win in II.1 if it becomes the case, but my team will be much better and won't be an easy win for the majority of teams.

I had a lot of players that have improved ratios and chemistry, probably 4/7 to 6/7 of my starters as well as the backups. I have 3 starters that I purchased this season, 1 backup who needed improvement in certain areas before he takes over for another player, 2 good 15 year old pulls who may soon become starters, and a starting goaltender that only started for 1/3 of the season. In addition, my whole team is working on another thing.

It seems I will be here next season. At least this seems like a relatively active league. I think my general sponsor last season was worse than some of the sponsors in division II ($111,000,000), so it might even be worthwhile if I can win more than 17 games next season.

Good luck to everyone next season.

Well, looks like you all will be smacking me around next season. Be easy on it, my guys are very fragile.

You crushed me!! Good luck in II.1, hopefully I can be as successful as you were in III.4

Thanks, good luck to you. Left Hand of the Law will give you fits!! He has been giving me fits since season one.

You should get 4 of them from me since I am playing scrubs.

Yeah no kidding... i was really hoping he'd stay down there and I wouldn't have to play him again next season.

As it is, we've got 3 of the original teams from IV.4 in our division this year. Myself, Joshua Eagles, and Dooshnozzles.

I wish you luck in III.4 bfgaskill! Reload for a year and come back gunning in season 5! =)

Good to have you man. Good luck in the coming season. we dodged a bit of a bullet not having to play a very good Cunning Procrastinators team next season.

Not really sure what's going on with him, but hopefully he didn't afk quit (since he's our only representation in the cup winners cup next season).

But there's still plenty of teams here that'll give you fits (including your old I.1 rival Cold Mountain Strikes).

It won't be a walk in the park, but it will be better than in I.1 where it was nearly impossible to get more than a handful of wins from the top 6 teams.

My average energy is about 65 right now (my goaltenders are around 80) and I was playing a lot of my backups, so I am hoping that my team strength will jump up quite a bit next season.

It looks like there a quite a few good teams. The Big fatty cats in particular look like the most dangerous team joining the league next season.

For some reason, I think that the Montana Miners have the opportunity to end up one of the better teams in the long run due to their current focus on facilities.

he didnt quit. he had some personal problems but is back on. unfortunately he didn't promote. At the end it could work on his favor as his OTR will increase a lot

I mean, you're sort of right... although he's pretty much reached his "equilibrium point."

I've seen this with my hockey team in division III. It's what happens when OTR gain is an additive thing, and OTR loss is a multiplicative thing. After several seasons of success in the same division, against the same level of competition, it gets very difficult to meaningfully increase your team's OTR.

Over the long term, you can only benefit so much from being in a low division because of the diminishing returns of playing against low OTR competition.

Just like everyone else, he'll still get a seasonal OTR decrease of 30%, but because he did very well this season, his "deducted OTR" number is likely significantly higher than many teams in the US (he'll be losing roughly 131 points of OTR). So he'll be spending much of next season just earning back what was subtracted away.

Obviously if he wins more games this coming season, he can gain the OTR back faster, but considering he only had 3 losses this season and won 5 games during the playoffs, it's doubtful that he'll be able to significantly increase his OTR gains just through winning more games.

Consider the following...

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Assumptions:
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The following contains these assumptions:
1) Division II.1 average OTR gain = 4.0
2) Division III.1 average OTR gain = 3.25
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- It would take him 40 wins in division III.1 just to offset his 131 point seasonal OTR loss. So he'll have to win at least 40 times next year just to break even.

- If he wins 52 wins in the coming season in division III.1 (which is what he did in season 3), he'd get roughly 169 points of OTR. An improvement of 38 points (or an 8.6% gain from today).

- It would only take him 33 wins in division II.1 to offset his 131 point seasonal OTR loss.

- It would take only 43 wins in division II.1 to increase his OTR by the same 38 points (that winning 52 games in division III.1 would do). Given that he's currently rated (by team strength) higher than any division II.1 team, I'd say he had a pretty good shot at hitting 43 wins (or better) next season.

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The only way "it could work on his favor" (from an OTR standpoint) to be in a lower league, is if he could win more games there (and therefore gain more OTR there) than he could in a higher league. This isn't the case with Cunning Procrastinators.

He absolutely would have been better off advancing (because his team is good enough to compete in division II), and while I agree that his OTR probably won't be HURT by staying in III.1, it really won't be HELPED very much at this point either.

He's currently ranked 9th in the U.S. in OTR, I'd be rather surprised if he improves on that at all next season. More likely his OTR ranking will decrease next season.

Honestly, it's likely the same thing that will happen with your team next season. Basically you have to continue to play at a very high level to offset the OTR losses you'll see from the seasonal adjustment (since you'll lose more OTR than any team in the U.S.)

The only difference is, division 1 will be better next season (no dead teams as of now), and should continue to get better and better as the seasons progress. This is due to the structure where the low OTR teams generally get relegated and the high OTR teams generally advance. So division 1 wins will be (respective to this season) worth MORE OTR next season. So for the most part, unless you absolutely tank next season, even if you do a little worse, you'll likely still improve upon your OTR.

Division 3 on the other hand, will arguably stay the same in terms of average OTR gained, and could possibly get worse (depending on how many new teams join during a given time period, and what the quality of teams advancing or relegating is). So the fact that he was already as dominant as he was in season 3 will make it very difficult for him to even sustain his current U.S. OTR rank (much less improve upon it).

he will have cup winners cup to gain some extra OTR so he could be fine.

under the new draft rule, he will get to draft top 3 in one draft. With not so active league as D2 is, he will likely take huge advantage of draft if we indeed have it every other week.

and btw, while i wont tank, i dont plan to run to win regular season this time. My plan is to make the playoffs and finish the season top 8.

I have one plan and not sure yet how to execute it. But it will be different than this seasons plans.