And your record might reflect what you said in your first sentence. If you dont play your best guys, of course you wont win games.
That said, thats why I used the team strength of 37 as an indicator. That's what you were at before you went to camp the most recent time (which I figured was closer to your "normal"

It will be easier for sure to get OTR in lower leagues, but I'm saying it just probably wont be like you'll be in the top 25 OTR in a season. If you're really shooting for a league to raise OTR in, you better win some games so you end up in II.3. II.2 is looking like a killing field nowadays.