主題: Questions & Answers

16% of the team strenght difference, and your goalie is stronger and rises team strength, but the goalie does not affect the game in the field. the formation and tactics can change the balance of power between the teams.
better tolerated defeats
and better luck next time

Hmmm... This defeat is joke anyway...
Tactics was equally...I sub a midfielder for a defender...My midfield was stronger and taktic was same...

there are no "random matches". every match is a result of calculations which are based on probabilities and not random.

What were the reasons?

I can see several ways how he could have increased his chances of winning in terms of tactics. I'm not saying he lost it on tactics, but he could have given himself a better chance.

This was a match between to evenly matched teams. The difference between them was not so great. Frecsi has better forwards, but the rest is pretty close. He may call himself a bit unlucky, but luck and random are 2 very different things.

But is it normal to have bad luck 3 weeks in a row ?

It's probably unlucky to have bad luck 3 weeks in a row

Let's say the probability to have bad luck in a certain match is 1/3, the probability to have normal luck is 1/3 and the probability to have good luck is 1/3.

3 weeks means 9 league matches, thus the probability to have bad luck 3 weeks in a row is (1/3)^9 = 0,005%. That means it's not normal but on the other hand I haven't seen that happening to any team. Thus your question is quite invalid.

When I look at your matches from last 3 weeks, you haven't been unlucky at all:
- You won a match you definitely should have won
- You drew 2 matches where the chances were even
- You lost 6 matches where you were heavily outplayed

There's not a single match with a "crazy result" and there aren't even a single one where you were slightly unlucky. Instead there are 9 matches with "normal luck".

Don't think he speaks about the last three weeks, he mean the three weeks before he sold out one month ago.

Yes, as illesnille said... Its not the last 3 weeks.

Matches when I have so much better team than my opponents.

Look around gameday 20 and 3 weeks forward...

And also really crazy that the National Team also gets stupid results exactly the same time

And I dont like the word "normal luck".

Round 20-30..... Look at that matches.

And look at the National teams qualify matches...

It's not normal but it happens. I've had bad luck for most of this season. After scoring 99 goals last season, I only had 34 goals through 24 games. And that included two 4 goal outbursts. I finished with 74 goals scored. 25 of them were scored in five games. 51 goals scored in the other 37 games. That's awful.

There's at least 10 games throughout the season that ended horribly for me. And probably another 10 that I controlled play but only won 1-0 or 2-1. Hell, I had one game where the other team picked up two reds in the first 22 minutes and I only won 2-1 with 60% possession. And that's not even the worst. One game they got a red at 45 minutes and I lost 1-3!

This will happen in any system where they have a bit of variation. It's just like the youth pulls. Some teams will get a lot of good players, most people will get an average number of good pulls, and some will get none. Some teams will play way above their ratings for a while, most will play right around their ratings, and some poor bastards like us will suffer through a whole bunch of bull crap.

This season, I expected to contend for 3rd, probably finish in 4th, but might drop to 5th again. Despite all the stupidity, I still managed to finish in 5th. So things almost evened out in the end.

watch the language please. There are no hidden attributes.