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It doesn't work that way. Odds to get a good player don't go up with time, they're constant. And thanks for the compliment. I've been investing my my arena now since the SA, really, is just for training camps. I can't justify pumping big bucks into a lottery facility.
Sure a constant, but with randomness things eventually tend to even out in the long run.
The SA is an interesting facility. If you could have enough data to figure out the odds of getting a good pull and then put a numerical value on how much that good pull would be worth on the open market, you could theoretically figure out if it's smarter to invest in SA then arena.
Aka 380OR/(85-90)AVQ=100mil 350OR/(80-85)=50mil
Of course the amount of data and work to do this would be huge with many variables, interesting nonetheless.
The SA is an interesting facility. If you could have enough data to figure out the odds of getting a good pull and then put a numerical value on how much that good pull would be worth on the open market, you could theoretically figure out if it's smarter to invest in SA then arena.
Aka 380OR/(85-90)AVQ=100mil 350OR/(80-85)=50mil
Of course the amount of data and work to do this would be huge with many variables, interesting nonetheless.
Nice Pull - Makes me question my strategy as the guys I purchased become older. The good thing is they've kept my team competitive, helped me maintain a high OTR which has led to greater income, and I can sell them at some point for huge profit. Timing will be key.
You're doing just fine, 2 of the players you purchased are still 5/6 at the age 22, won't need their replacement for awhile still. It's those players that have already dropped to 3/6 that are gonna watch younger players surpass them soon
I've been lucky with drops so far. Here's my 6 big purchases:
Yang Baoqing in S1 for 6.5M. Dropped to 4/6 at 21
Vítězslav Stoklasa in S1 for 4.7M. Dropped to 4/6 at 21
Bojan Kontić in S2 for 33.6M. Hasn't dropped from 5/6
Illo Mõtsar in S3 for 22M. Hasn't dropped from 5/6
Leonel Araujo in S4 for 20M. Still 6/6
Dmitriy Chesnokov in S4 for 23.4M. Still 6/6
The 3/6 guys are all original roster members
Yang Baoqing in S1 for 6.5M. Dropped to 4/6 at 21
Vítězslav Stoklasa in S1 for 4.7M. Dropped to 4/6 at 21
Bojan Kontić in S2 for 33.6M. Hasn't dropped from 5/6
Illo Mõtsar in S3 for 22M. Hasn't dropped from 5/6
Leonel Araujo in S4 for 20M. Still 6/6
Dmitriy Chesnokov in S4 for 23.4M. Still 6/6
The 3/6 guys are all original roster members
You underestimate me...
ppm.powerplaymanager.com/...
ppm.powerplaymanager.com/...
ppm.powerplaymanager.com/...
I have over 2,500 handball pulls, over 7,500 hockey pulls and over 5,400 soccer pulls. Sadly, no information on basketball pulls.
PS. There is a reason I link all data-related articles in each PPM Mag I write
ppm.powerplaymanager.com/...
ppm.powerplaymanager.com/...
ppm.powerplaymanager.com/...
I have over 2,500 handball pulls, over 7,500 hockey pulls and over 5,400 soccer pulls. Sadly, no information on basketball pulls.
PS. There is a reason I link all data-related articles in each PPM Mag I write
I'd never underestimate you, I've read them all ☺ amazing work.
Unfortunately basketball has different odds.
But it does show that building a SA is no fools errand and has amazing value in the long run...still is of course a game of randomness
Unfortunately basketball has different odds.
But it does show that building a SA is no fools errand and has amazing value in the long run...still is of course a game of randomness
Had I to restart basketball all over I would of purchased players in season 1, those purchases made your team, looking at other top teams they did the same...aka the top player in basketball on the top team was purchased in S1
It is predictable though. The average star rating tends with roster size. Hockey has 22, soccer 11, handball 6, basketball 5. So you'd expect the basketball odds to be lowest since one good pull is 20% of your team (vs. 5% in hockey). I bet I could estimate the odds for each star in basketball within 2-5% of the actual odds.
So let's say you take that data and put a monetary value on pulls you could estimate the value of spending on your SA has
Then you do the same with your arena, factor in higher media sponsor, extra money from the boxes, home games, friendlies etc...and you can actually figure out if on average if your better off with arena over SA. There are of course many variables so the data pool would have to be very big
Then you do the same with your arena, factor in higher media sponsor, extra money from the boxes, home games, friendlies etc...and you can actually figure out if on average if your better off with arena over SA. There are of course many variables so the data pool would have to be very big
Yup, exactly. The uncertainty would be huge simply given the many unknowns (market hot/cold, C/L, distrubution of Qs, OR, height!). But it is conceivable.
They're going to update the definition of "close" from:
"Proximity to going when a girl touches your winky for the first time"
to
"S5 Canada I.1 PPM Basketball Conference B 2-5 standings".
"Proximity to going when a girl touches your winky for the first time"
to
"S5 Canada I.1 PPM Basketball Conference B 2-5 standings".
I must say though, I face A6, B8 and B3 (Isle) to round out the season - it could be worse.
RCP - A6, B8, B3
ILC - A2, B7, B2
Msk - A1, B6, B5
Hoo - A3, B1, B4
I think I have the favourable schedule heading in. Hooligans has a tough battle ahead. Mouskat needs two key results given they have Gold Fish next. Chessmen have a tough next game and it'll likely come down to game 44 for them.
RCP - A6, B8, B3
ILC - A2, B7, B2
Msk - A1, B6, B5
Hoo - A3, B1, B4
I think I have the favourable schedule heading in. Hooligans has a tough battle ahead. Mouskat needs two key results given they have Gold Fish next. Chessmen have a tough next game and it'll likely come down to game 44 for them.
nothing will be settled until the final day where we all play each other
Funny how that worked out 
.
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