Asunto: C/L Drop

Last season I made a table estimating C/L drop odds:
i901.photobucket.com/albu...

However there was some scrutiny that it didn't take into account injuries and thus medical facility level etc. I lost a few players to C/L but that didn't surprise me. 17 and 6/6 means a drop to 5/6. However, I had 17 and 5/6 drop to 4/6 and he has NEVER been injured. Likely bad luck with a toss of the dice but just curious if your dropped C/L was due to injury or pure chance.

Let me re-phrase that... 18 and 6/6 means a sure drop to 5/6. But he was 17 at 5/6 and dropped to 4/6. The odds are against it, it happens I know... but 0 injured days in 3 seasons?

Well I'll be... guess I was a little quick on the draw. He had 0 injury days but that was under season 5 (obviously). Looking at seasons 2-4 he had 15, 5 and 8. Upon further observation other dropping C/L players had some injury history while others not so much. Curious for comments

We've got a chatty bunch of co-co nuts here.

I'd join in, but I can't see my players' injury histories.

Ya I gathered it was PRO Pack. It is very helpful info.

Consider this a thank you for that useful table.

I had 14 players at 6/6 CL, 8x 15, 5x 16 and 1x 17.

Two 15 year olds and a 16 y/o dropped to 5/6, none of those have had injuries.

The 17 year old had 10 days last season, none before that.

One of the 15 year olds had 7 days, the rest none. Of the 16 year olds, one had 7 days, one 5, the rest none.

Both my 21 y/o 5/6 CL guys dropped despite no injuries.

All my 19 (2) and 20 (2) y/o kept their 5/6 CL. One of the 20 y/o has been injured for 30 days in his career.

Two 18 y/o dropped from 5/6 to 4/6, these are my injury prone players. Total days injured is 40 and 41 respectively.

Well I escaped alright. There were a few 15/16 6/6 to 16/17 5/6 which always hurt but the key ones survived.

Mine were almost all ones that had 4 yrs at their current c/l and had to drop. Not complaining this year.

To celebrate the 14th season, 14 players had a C/L drop including my 2 excellent pulls from early last season. A large number of players dropped earlier than expected. Completely devastating C/L drops this season.

Ouch. I can live with 17 6/6 --> 18 5/6 and guys in their 20s dropping before expected. But 15 6/6 to 16 5/6 has to be about THE WORST C/L drop you can get.

Dominik Białasz , the best 18 year old in the game and property of TMO stayed at 6/6. Should I send him to market and see if he becomes the first billion dollar transfer?

What possible reason could you need more money? Keep him! He'll be 10x the goalie Tierney is!

(he's a winger)

Not sure where I got the goalie idea from but my point remains.