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A polite friend from PPM has already shown me some numbers (that are against my theory, I must add), but I will ask a friend to run the data for me, if Vlady says it's ok to do that. Idea is to show the percentage of winning for 17-3 and 14-8 in games between two owned teams (nonames and dagger excluded).
This result looks quite normal to me. Away team has 4 forwards against 3 defenders, home has 4 forwards against 6 defenders. Problem is in shots on goal, 15 shots on such strong defence is not real. Too much shots on goal in this game and very low gol per shot ratio.
His point (and mine too) is that the ratio of scoring chances converted into goals is completely wrong or very low.
15 scoring chances in a match should result in at least 3 gols or more, mainly if we consider that the goalkepper is WAY WORSE (technically) than the strikers.
15 scoring chances in a match should result in at least 3 gols or more, mainly if we consider that the goalkepper is WAY WORSE (technically) than the strikers.
Ok. Send your job application to Barcelona and Real Madrid. Even Mourinho can't promise what you just did.
Simple math and coding skills are enough to promisse what I just did.
20% of shoot accuracy is way too high, i don't know where you get this numbers..
You can see the stats of Champions League in the link below and the real numbers are far, far from that percentage you think it's correct
The mean is about 10% of the shoot ends with a goal.
Maybe the problem is the total number of shots per match.. and not the % of goals per shot.
www.uefa.com/uefachampion...
You can see the stats of Champions League in the link below and the real numbers are far, far from that percentage you think it's correct
The mean is about 10% of the shoot ends with a goal.
Maybe the problem is the total number of shots per match.. and not the % of goals per shot.
www.uefa.com/uefachampion...
Actually, my worst attackers have a ratio of 1 goal for 3 shots. That would mean 5 gols for every 15 shots. Maybe they should play for the Intergalactic Barca? Who knows?
Point is, the ratio of scoring chances converted into goals seems too unstable.
Point is, the ratio of scoring chances converted into goals seems too unstable.
You are carrying the issue through real life analysis. I see no problem with that, that's another way to look at the matter since a higher number of shots would mean a more stable average. But our point is inside simulator.
Your worst attackers also have a smaller number of matches played... so they are statistically irrelevant
A similator.. is created to simulate the reality.. so we should analise it based on real life analysis.. right?
That's why I posted Rusintinho's link.
Yes, since that's our main goal and a new pov is always welcome; and no, since that was not the original point of analysis.
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